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chrisg

Superherø
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Everything posted by chrisg

  1. chrisg

    The Ukraine plane crash

    True enough but it could also be argued that America's hands are not entirely clean in respect of the shooting down. Personally I don't really buy that argument, it was pretty crazy for the Iranians to even be allowing any civilian air movements with tensions at the level they were, Cheers
  2. chrisg

    The Ukraine plane crash

    I'll stick with stupid automation until proven otherwise but at least they owned up quickly I don't like the theocracy at all but maybe the past few days actually weakened it, we'll have to see. Cheers
  3. chrisg

    The Ukraine plane crash

    .. can make you wonder who the bad guys really are... Cheers
  4. chrisg

    The Ukraine plane crash

    Yeah, In most of the American reports - I doubt they know there is, confusingly, an indigenous Khorad 15 that seems very capable and works similarly. Cheers
  5. chrisg

    The Ukraine plane crash

    I don't think anyone has said what kind of missile it was, Iran has a bewildering array of them, both imported and indigenous but most seem to be active guidance. When I saw "safe a system" I mean taking it out of track whilst scan. I' m by no mean a SAM expert but it should be obvious that it is not at all hard for a novice to leave a system in alert mode and have the damned thing fire. If it does at the initial acceleration speed there would be very little time to react especially as the TEL gets rather rocked around by the launch. It is entirely speculation but the local Khorad 15 is a reasonable bet especially given the altitude the aircraft was at when hit. My point is really quite simple: In a modern battlefield if all you are expecting is possible incoming you have the option to set to an auto fire - pretty easy for an inexperienced person to forget to take it out of that mode. No way of knowing as yet, may never know... Cheers
  6. chrisg

    The Ukraine plane crash

    Hmm, That's a surprise - reports are saying Iran will give Us investigators access to the investigation. Not quite sure what that means but at least they are not being frozen out. Cheers
  7. chrisg

    NSW / QLD fires

    Quite true flip. It does however create by various means including reduced safe burn off times and super dry conditions situations where fires are much easier to start both intentionally and by accident. Cheers
  8. chrisg

    The Ukraine plane crash

    A great many things have changed in aviation over say 60 years. Right up until the last year or so of the Vietnam war Air France in particular still operated in and out of Saigon. The pilots used steep approaches and fast climb outs to avoid any VC in the boondocks taking a pot at them and apparently no one ever did. Nowadays we'd call that cowboy foolishness. Even in the interim between GW1 & 2 when Northern and Southern watch alerts were operative over Iraq airlines still routinely flew very close to the borders, often within slant range - we'd never allow it now. The biggest changes have been dramatically improved reliability and accuracy on the part of SAM systems and, what we keep hearing more and more of - automation. If a SAM launches and locks these days the chances of a hit on a civilian aircraft approach 100%, on a military aircraft it is likely approaching 50% or better which is most of the reason stealth is a thing and pilots still prefer to keep it low. Because training is not so good on complex SAM systems and the operators are often just raw recruits the systems have become far more automated - taking the man out of the loop. We will probably never know for sure with MH-17 but it does appear it was a deliberate launch on a mistaken target. With this latest tragedy we don't know anything yet but there is a pretty good chance it was an uncommanded launch- someone quite literally forgot to safe a system. Airlines are going to have to learn to just stay well away from any conflict, there are no second chances particularly when the shot was as short as this one - very likely the operators were so startled they had no time to destruct the missile - still sorting out what it was firing at when it hit. The manufacturers have been bragging about how easy their missiles are to use for quite a while, I'm going to bet they were not over-selling. Cheers
  9. chrisg

    NSW / QLD fires

    Quite a few years ago now Wheels magazine were testing some cars somewhere out on the Hay Plains. They puled over to do some photo-shoots and found that enough dry grass etc had been caught up in the exhaust that they started a grass fire. Fortunately they had extinguishers with them so it was quickly put out, but that's how quick it can happen and completely unintentional when it gets dry out there. Cheers
  10. chrisg

    The Ukraine plane crash

    Yeah, but it's always easier to say afterwards... Apparently the flight was connecting to one onwards to Toronto and I'd guess most of the passengers, even the Iranians who most all seemed to be Canadian residents,just wanted to get home. Horrible event. Cheers
  11. chrisg

    NSW / QLD fires

    I'd write him off but he gives the impression he is rather used to all this blither.... Cheers
  12. chrisg

    NSW / QLD fires

    Heh, You mean he really is a genuine pillock ? Words fail me... The problem can often be that everyone gets their little axe to grind (not a good idea at the moment) but you are quite correct, it is an holistic event and one that has to be treated as such. It is also worth thinking that whilst we might over-react somewhat on climate change it is better than finding out too late what we should have been doing. That's why continuing with coal is not exactly the best idea. I do take my hat off to my State (well, it is my state again) in getting rid of coal powered stations all together. Yes it has been painful but Port Augusta in particular is well on the way to recovery. The environment is cleaner, although thorium contamination will take a while to leech away and there are now high hopes of sustainable solar and wind embracing the entire area and the job situation from all that I've been learning is really not too bad. The stations there, that have now been demolished did not really employ a vast amount of people and a goodly portion of them were edging onto retirement. Skills are also quite transferable to wind and solar power so with a small amount of luck, in the form of some investment, the place is set to start its new role. Of the three iron Triangle towns, PA has always tended to be the most dynamic. Whyalla imploded badly when ship-building stopped and has never completely recovered. Pt Pirie relies far too much on smelting but PA sort of takes it on the chin and finds a new role. That's partly helped by it being the hub of agriculture up there as well , which is also doing it tough at the moment, but the railways help and new industries promise new directions. It cannot be over-stated that indigenous money does contribute a great deal as well but it pretty much always has. Lastly there are moves afoot to re-open it as a Port for the first time in decades. It used to be a pretty big port facility taking grain down for consolidation in Adelaide or even shipping it straight to overseas markets but for a long time that has not been the case with the grain moving south by rail and road particularly into Pt Lincoln. That's is not as economic as it once was so the Port is coming back. It wont make much difference to Lincoln, it has its own catchment anyway but it will in other ways. Because silos are hardly very labor intensive the smaller town between PA and Adelaide have been dying for a long while and as Hiway One has by-passed many so they have sort of withered away. It makes sense to revive the Port and someone seems to agree, they are even widening the bridge over the top of the gulf to accommodate more traffic. i don't know if I will end up going back there to live, I did enjoy it many years ago, but it is good to see it staying on its feet. Cheers
  13. chrisg

    NSW / QLD fires

    There's absolutely no question that a number of fires are deliberately, or thoughtlessly started, particularly by kids messing with matches but it's not exactly the point. If it were not for the fuel being so tinder dry we would not be having the conflagrations we are having and whilst that could partly stem back to reduced burn offs the contrary argument, probably quite correctly, has been that because of the drought there has been a reduced period in which it is safe to burn combined with greater areas in need of it. In short the system has been overwhelmed and that still leads back to climate change as in shorter, dryer winters. I've no problem with someone wanting to express a contrary view but its been a while since I've seen such an obnoxious, irritating git. W.A has had the problem for years, it became a bit of a joke, they'd do a control burn and it would get out of control and we'd be breathing smoke for a week. When your State has been in drought, as in the sort of middle of it, plenty of water north and south but most of the people live in the middle ,you sort of get used to it but W.A is typically, in the highly populated area one very dry place. Most years they have helicopters spraying off the top of power poles to prevent pole top fires from the accumulation of dust and debris that ignites when a bit of misty rain leads to a short. Even that is something that has to be timed carefully, first and second year I was there until they timed it right they were as likely to start a few small fires as to prevent them. Cheers
  14. chrisg

    Problems with the 737MAX ?

    A New Year but the Boeing MAX is still embroiled in controversy and it doesn't get any better when documents from Boeing themselves reveal that they were intentionally or not lying to the FAA and in fact at least one pilot had found difficulty flying a simulator. When you add to that employees saying they would not fly on one, you really have to wonder what the hell was going on at Boeing: https://www.nytimes.com/2020/01/09/business/boeing-737-messages.html?action=click&module=Alert&pgtype=Homepage Simulator training looks to be a guarantee before there is any return to service and from the sound of it they are still turning up issues with the aircraft. Now, some of those probably do not amount to much and may well have been in 737s all along but with the FAA not letting anything slip by Boeing are now heading toward the next horror of possibly older models needing rectifications, at Boeing expense. Then add crew training that they may have to pay for since it was a strong part of the sales pitch that no particular re-certification was needed for a 737 pilot on earlier models to fly the MAX. Just how they are going to get out of this is impossible to say at the moment. I'm beginning to wonder if the avalanche of order cancellations that was considered out of the question may yet happen - this aircraft is as jinxed as the Comet was. The real shame though, and why I do have some sympathy, is that if they had been just a little more sensible, had non-optional redundancy on MCAS and featured it in training, including how to disable the system if it failed none of this would have happened. The sales team took over from the engineers - a typical recipe for disaster. Cheers
  15. chrisg

    The Ukraine plane crash

    Yes, it damned well shouldn't but it does. Apparently the bases the Iranians attacked were home to drones suspected of having been used in the hit so it was a sort of tit-for-tat reprisal. Also the Iranians apparently advised the Iraqi government in advance of the attack knowing it would filter down to the Americans which explains material damage only. However the Iranians appear to be playing a somewhat dangerous game with their own people by claiming to them that Americans were killed. Apparently airlines including Qantas have urgently adjusted their flight paths to avoid flying anywhere near Iran, or Iraq if I'm reading it correctly. That is going to mess with some timetables. It is something that has struck me a few times when overflying the area, there's a war going on down there, should we really be here ? Cheers
  16. chrisg

    The Ukraine plane crash

    When the Vincennes accidentally shot down the Airbus coming out of Iran years ago the Iranians were up in arms about how it was not possible to mistake a commercial aircraft for an attack. (Actually it was, an F-14 was also in the air and the Vincennes radar operator became confused.) This happened in darkness, the Iranian crews manning the missiles are apparently not well trained and would have been on edge having only a few hours before attacked two American bases, they were expecting retaliation. There is most probably not good communication between the crews and ATC - they panicked and caused a tragedy. It's horrible, if anything good is to come out of it is has to be both sides backing way off, but I'll believe that when I see it. Cheers
  17. chrisg

    The Ukraine plane crash

    Most of the rest were Canadians but it has to have been an awful mistake. Cheers
  18. chrisg

    Trump: The third POTUS ever to be Impeached

    Heh, I'm reasonably sure he's demented - so are many others, but we'll see. Cheers
  19. chrisg

    Israel did it.

    But that is what they want us to think ...or some twaddle... Should shut him up for a year... Cheers
  20. chrisg

    Guys, it's ok. We have a safe space

    Strange that I get no complaints from the ladies Cheers
  21. chrisg

    Trump: The third POTUS ever to be Impeached

    Even Trump can have moments of sanity - or be force-fed his meds... Cheers
  22. chrisg

    Guys, it's ok. We have a safe space

    No I'm not, I'm just wondering why so-called celibate priests sometimes get involved in particularly pedophile case with adolescent males -rarely females it seems. FTR I have a reasonable number of gay friends who most certainly are not priests, i enjoy their company and they do not hit on me As usual you interpreted ass-backwards Cheers
  23. chrisg

    Guys, it's ok. We have a safe space

    If Gays are not Christians explain priest fiddlers.... Cheers
  24. chrisg

    Problems with the 737MAX ?

    No, most likely not but it probably will not make any difference. Boeing do not have some magic wand to wave over an accident and reveal the truth, others are just as capable, in fact given the mire the FAA has bee in of late possibly more capable. Cheers
  25. chrisg

    Trump: The third POTUS ever to be Impeached

    Heh, Not at all. I tend to think the Iranians played it as well as they possibly could whilst addressing two audiences, the International and their own people. To the former they gave warning and inflicted no casualties that we are being made aware of - likelihood nil, plenty of warning to take cover. To the latter they declared a great victory and hopefully blunted the blood -lust. Trump seems to have listened to his advisors in particular intel, which he has been scathing of for most of his term, and given a measured reply. That's pretty canny, it puts the ball back in the Iranian court without needing to do much. The airliner I do not know. I really do hope it was not an accidental shoot-down. Now we have to see if anything flares up again, so far it is a case of watching and wary. Cheers
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