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Posts posted by chrisg

  1. 7 minutes ago, LogicprObe said:


    These days it seems, you can't be a 'scientist' without an agenda.


    In the olden days.............they were just 'mad scientists'.


    Money will make people say, do and believe all sorts of things.





    Those guys don't do it for money   🙂





  2. 😉


    This is the real world, dealing with it does not involve medication, it involves concern.


    I'm simply reporting what the informed and intelligent group of scientists and others decided to telegraph to the world, if it bothers to listen,  there are serious threats lose in the world and significant people are not making them go away, in fact they are making the either more likely or worse.


    Ignorance such as yours hardly improves the situation.





  3. 3 hours ago, Jeruselem said:


    I have a friend who has breathing issues due this lungs under 30%. So this thing would pretty much kill him



    I'm still in the process of getting to full recovery from pneumonia - news flash - takes longer when you get older - so my body might not like it much either but I'm of a sub-group, as is your friend. So far this thing is not Armageddon.



  4. 48 minutes ago, Jeruselem said:

    No positive cases of 2019-nCoV in Australia as yet ... I think that'll change soon





    I suppose it could well mutate and become far more deadly but as it stands it's a bit of a beat-up or to be kind an over-abundance of caution.


    The death rate is relatively low against a not very large number of confirmed cases and most everyone who has died has either been very elderly or suffering from respiratory issues.


    The more normal, if you can call it that, flu that circles the globe on an annual basis kills far more people and we never seem to notice.





  5. Yes,


     That is indeed the rub with treaties, depends who signs them.


    I know it is an "open secret" but wouldn't it be amusing if actually it was all a con ?


    (Given the security at Dimona and around the Jerichos I'd say they are indeed real. )





  6. I think that has become the real concern Kimmo, that we could have a WWIII and not extinguish all life on the planet.


    It used to be said that WWIV would be fought with sticks and stones but now the ghouls who produce the weapons have made it entirely possible to fight a war using weapons of mass destruction and still preserve enough of an aggressor nation's military capability to take ownership of a defeated rival.


    Or at least that is the latest frightening set of suggestions.



  7. I'd disagree, paper shows intent, it may not be honored in the breech but people have met and discussed in order to arrive at an agreement. That humanises the relationship otherwise there is a tendency to become very dehumanised which makes taking hostile action easier.


    One of the most iconic photographs I think I have ever seen was taken during the end of hostilities between Israel and Egypt. It was of an Israeli soldier with a big smile on his face extending a handshake to an Egyptian soldier somewhere in Sinai. You are very much less likely to shoot someone once you have shaken their hand in friendship.


    One of the problems the world now faces, as I mentioned, is that MAD is no longer necessarily the case, low yield nukes delivered with high accuracy are a very real and frightening possibility.


    Proliferation is ridiculous really but humans can be very ridiculous. what is the point to having a weapon that you would never dare to use ? Yet nation after nation has spent billions on doing just that. The world is just too small and too crowded for that stupidity to endure but I've no idea how to stop it.


    I do find it amusing that Israel has never admitted to owning nukes but everyone believes they do. That could be the most spectacular example ever of the shell game but no one is ever likely to put it to the test  🙂


    Climate change is indeed a reality and carbon offsets are a joke, real action is needed, not encouraging more coal consumption which both the President and our idiot PM are hell-bent on doing.







  8. Hmm,


    We have managed to survive for around 75 years without the deployment of nuclear arms and that has at least in part been because of treaties between the major players and an understanding that MAD is a reality. Walking away from treaties is madness, we are back to the bad old days of pre the fall of the Berlin war.


    The major nations have signed the treaties over the years and have abided by them, by that I mean the US and Russia/SU, China has been a late arrival and in many ways playing "me-to."


    India and Pakistan are indeed a major concern, if there is likely to be a nuclear flash-point then the Indian sub-continent has to be the most likely suspect but there are other concerns.


    Perhaps the most significant, somewhat ironically, is that typical nuclear weapons now have much lower yields. That is however because weapons are much more accurate than they were which unfortunately makes it rather more likely that they might be used in a limited war than had previously been the case.


    Obviously nuclear weapons precede Trump, but he is the first to blatantly walk away from existing treaties. They may not be perfect, probably never will be, but they demonstrate a willingness to cooperate that is otherwise absent.


    You may have a well-founded dislike of Iran but it is notable that even after Trump abandoned the nuclear agreement with them, and tried, thus far unsuccessfully, to get the European signatories to follow suit, Iran still follows established inspection guidelines and does not make it difficult for the investigators the way Iraq did.


    The countries actually doing the most to stem CO2 output are the big, emergent if you like, nations, China and India. Both are working very hard at developing Thorium as a safer nuclear energy source and despite your wanting to belittle the effort they are both involved in massive tree-planting initiatives. Their problem is that they cannot just halt energy production or they will have internal revolution on their hands.


    There is no reason why America should be  increasing coal consumption apart from short-sighted greed, led by a climate-change denying idiot of a President.


    The world is in serious trouble, making light of it or denying it is not going to make it go away.







  9. That's symbolically how close the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists has placed the doomsday clock in it's annual meeting overnight.




    Some here don't treat the scientists very seriously it seems but personally I do and the collective of significant persons at the meeting seem to also.


    The combination of a dismantling of nuclear agreements, heightened tensions in the Middle East and climate change have all combined in what could be seen as a perfect storm to convince the scientists to move the clock closer than ever to midnight.


    There's a rather frightening common factor present in those concerns, Donald fucking Trump, he who has personally taken it upon himself to withdraw from key disarmament agreements, raise the tempo of tension with Iran, whilst completely bungling negotiations with North Korea and meanwhile roll back climate change initiatives in America.


    Whilst I hold out little hope of his impeachment leading to his removal I'm really not certain that the planet can survive his blatant stupidities for another five years so I do sincerely hope that America shoves him out the door in November at the least.


    That such a buffoon could be in charge of the U.S. simply beggars the imagination.



  10. 1 hour ago, Jeruselem said:


    Doesn't say if he was on a drop run.


    That would be at least two Hercules lost fire fighting, I hope it does not turn out to be a fault trend.


    I'm a little surprised Canberra is still suffering Ry, Adelaide has cooled way off and not showing much sign yet of boiling back up.



  11. 2 hours ago, LogicprObe said:


    The Americans were keen to do EVERYTHING different to the Pommies.


    Dunno about completely different but they did try to pass a wave of common sense over "rights."


    Whether they succeeded,  well, it is a pretty honest document in the main - guns aside but of course that in itself is an amendment.







  12. 2 hours ago, Jeruselem said:



    I'd missed their reporting another software glitch. Doesn't sound anywhere near as bad as MCAS but still another delay.


    I suppose in the big scheme of things having access to rather than actually drawing down on a $10B loan is just prudent but it would certainly make my head spin 🙂



  13. 9 hours ago, aliali said:

    Well BA Flight 9 in 1982 lost all 4 for a little while.

    That was due to volcanic ash though, not systems failure and they did eventually get 3 of them restarted.

    Now that would have had a pretty big pucker factor.





    True Ali, but he didn't have to land it on one or none.


    Davies described landing the 747 on one engine in such a matter-of-fact manner that it was difficult to see it as much of a problem, until he mentioned the crab angle requiring the pilot to be looking out of one of the side windows...


    I don't completely recall if he actually flew the aircraft to a full stop or just set up the approach and theorised the rest, I can check that when I get my books back, all in storage at the moment. The book is an absolute classic, especially the later editions when he moved it from being purely generic to admitting that since only one aircraft at the time, the 747, was truly a BIG jet he might as well identify it. He was chief test pilot for the UK's CAA for quite a number of years.