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chrisg

Superherø
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Everything posted by chrisg

  1. chrisg

    The coronavirus conspiracy

    That does not sound very promising scruffy. They do now certainly seem to be taking it seriously in Italy: https://www.news.com.au/lifestyle/health/health-problems/coronavirus-outbreak-in-italy-plunges-europe-into-lockdown/news-story/6d2a1d9e27005da95135f0b9544a9045 My sister and her husband were planning a trip there in a few weeks, may have to re-think. Cheers
  2. I really do not quite know what to make of this, but it is frighteningly plausible: https://www.news.com.au/world/asia/coronavirus-may-have-leaked-from-a-chinese-lab/news-story/0bc7c4f52892eb2e51e788b8e2e45c07 A separate thread for CV news was probably due anyway. To my mind the containment has been pretty much consistently bungled, especially with regard to the Diamond Princess but I am still trying to resolve just how Australia is dealing with it. Initially the banning of inbound flights etc. whilst perhaps somewhat heavy-handed definitely kept the numbers low and contained in Australia. But now - the deal is that if a returned person from the infection zones is found to be contagious, primarily now at the Darwin facility, they are passed along to their state of origin for isolation and care. Question. How do they safely get there without potentially contaminating others ? No one seems yet able to answer that with much confidence and meanwhile Japan, which has a health system at least as advanced as ours seems to be losing the containment battle, as is South Korea. This is a long way from being over. Cheers
  3. chrisg

    The coronavirus conspiracy

    Venice and a couple of other chunks of Italy but in typical Italian fashion it sees somewhat sporadic. It's probably time to get a bit of a grip - it's a virus, it has a mortality rate, but a lot of those infected never even develop symptoms. Australia WAS pretty much locked down, just what they did with those infected on the Diamond Princess no one seems to be saying. So you get it, you get over it and hopefully you are then immune, unless the damned thing mutates - short answer we need a vaccine and we need ongoing vaccines to keep ahead of it - which is what we have been doing with 'flu, not massively successfully, for decades. Buckle down, could be a rocky ride... Cheers
  4. chrisg

    The coronavirus conspiracy

    If I can find it I'll probably read the whole thing anyway. Koontz annoys me but he's not totally impossible to read Cheers
  5. chrisg

    The coronavirus conspiracy

    ... That's a bit spooky Dev. He's not one of my favorite authors but I might see if I can find a copy. Which is pretty much what you would expect them to say @th. Cheers
  6. chrisg

    i see dead people

    I'll never look at my hot water heater the same again Cheers
  7. chrisg

    i see dead people

    To be fair that was an earlier launch attempt but he kinda cemented himself as Loony Tunes by thinking Trump is a great President. ( Must be true, Trump keeps telling us he is ) Cheers
  8. chrisg

    i see dead people

    Pretty much, in an Evel Kneivel kind of way Cheers
  9. chrisg

    The coronavirus conspiracy

    I refrain from being alarmist but I do think we have hit a cusp when the Chinese start recalling people who had bee infected, were cleared and sent home but are now being found to be still contagious: https://www.news.com.au/world/asia/cured-patients-quarantined-at-coronavirus-epicentre/news-story/4dcf935884223b32785d2eb22d231daa This virus is not really playing by the rules, for example kids seem to be pretty immune but that is not to say they cannot be carriers. https://www.news.com.au/lifestyle/health/health-problems/coronavirus-is-going-global-and-containment-is-no-longer-an-option/news-story/6b52cf189ba52887bfc0b2a2862fcc49 With a vaccine seemingly months away unless they rush it without deep testing I'm wondering when, not if, it is going to be at my door. Cheers
  10. chrisg

    What's on your mind?

    Not surprising, in a Global Village even a sniffle causes the jitters. Cheers
  11. chrisg

    Problems with the 737MAX ?

    Probably not, the Chinese market is getting bombarded by new short/medium aircraft that are being made locally. It'd going to be a very intense and competitive market the next few years and it is a bit difficult to sell against a local manufacturer who gets told where to buy from Cheers
  12. I'm never inclined to leap to judgement over aircraft accidents but the early evidence of the similarities between LionAir and Ethiopian are rather stark. The AAIs will obviously look at the evidence from an unbiased standpoint and Boeing will doubtless start squealing that the pilots should have known of the potential issue from their NOTAMs but other possible causes are longer reaches given the evidence to date. Air accidents are always tragic when lives are lost but there are some nasty similarities not only between these two crashes but also another period of Boeing's history. There were a spate of crashes of the 727 in its early days. The common denominator was found to be primarily a lack of understanding of the deep stall characteristics of rear-engined jets which were new to the aviation industry particularly with an aircraft the size of the 727. Boeing resolved the issue with additional warning systems, an improved stick shaker/pusher system and training but not before several aircraft had crashed. Even that did not stop the Papa India Trident crash when the pilot repeatedly disabled the very systems telling him he had a deep stall condition caused by neglecting to extend the leading edge slats for take-off. Pilot error of course but the airliner industry moved away from rear engine designs despite several, including the 727 and Trident, going on to have long mostly accident-free service lives. I once spoke to a BAC-111 co-pilot who saved his aircraft when the captain had given up in a deep stall on a training flight, the possibility remained but pilot awareness improved and the likelihood of further incidents pretty much vanished. I've no problem with rear-engined jets at all, flown more than enough of the smaller varieties, but the deep stall condition is nowhere near as marked in shorter bodied aircraft. I don't think I'll be getting on a 737Max until the report is in. Cheers
  13. chrisg

    Problems with the 737MAX ?

    Joyce does have a point, one way to restore confidence in the MAX would be for the world's safest airline to place a big order. However there is no stock just sitting around, unless any airlines start cancelling big time, which seems unlikely although as that article also mentions some demand has gone out of the market with the coronavirus crisis, then every aircraft thus far produced and a few thousand more, are pre-sold. The majority of them are already in airline livery. Boeing COULD get out a very sharp pen but again with the burgeoning order book despite the debacle Qantas will still be on the end of a long queue. I'd therefore expect Boeing to hold reasonably firm on price, there are always discounts for big orders but to get the orders they have they have already cut deep. Joyce is a businessman, not one I like very much, but he'll weigh it all up and do what is best for Qantas. Airbus are not going to be idle, the 350 order is just an intent at the moment whilst Qantas negotiate with the pilots but it looks pretty certain. If they can get an order for 321s then with the airline close to retiring their 747s the overall fleet would be coming close to 50% Airbus. Not overall a particularly good situation in crewing and training terms but Qantas is big enough and has more than sufficient training infrastructure to cope with that. Which is not to say Joyce would not like to be all one manufacturer and Airbus do the minimal cross-type training carrot far better than Boeing. Interesting times. The 350 is already ordered by United, Boeings worst nightmare would be American jumping to that type over the 777x and then also seeing the virtues of fleet commonality. It has taken airlines a seemingly very long time to realise that advantage, yet Southwest have established themselves as the largest low-cost airline in the world by essentially sticking to the 737 for its entire fleet. That is a loyalty that might be tested if the MAX grounding lasts much longer. Ironically the coronavirus is likely taking a bit of pressure off their pent up demand for the MAX. Cheers
  14. chrisg

    i see dead people

    There are ways to produce very powerful steam rockets. After all the latent heat of steam can go to very high levels. It is not the correct way to think of it but in a bizarre fashion any rocket that uses hydrogen and oxygen, as Saturn 5 essentially did, is "burning" water. I don't know exactly what he did to produce the thrust for launch but that doesn't seem to have been the issue, the rocket apparently fouled on the launch gantry. Cheers
  15. chrisg

    i see dead people

    Flat earthers even have an answer to visible curvature from altitude - I just forget what it is Ah well, he died doing what he wanted to do. RIP. Cheers
  16. chrisg

    The coronavirus conspiracy

    Indeed scruffy. They, whoever "they" are seem to be multiplying the possibilities of infection. Now it is being reported that 14 days incubation period may be way off. A case has presented where a patient was asymptotic for something like 27 days then tested positive. In combination with the pointless taking of temperatures in people who may be infected but are not yet showing any symptoms, including elevated temperature, it seems rather obvious that no one really knows what they are doing. Case in point, just today three passengers from Diamond Princess who were checked, by whatever means, five times between Japan and Darwin have now also tested positive. It seems to be just as well that this is not a serious virus, not in real terms, but it is still killing people. Granted most fatalities have been of the elderly or those with per-existing conditions, but by no means all. It honestly does seem that far from confining the virus the authorities globally are fumbling around and letting it escape. Cheers
  17. chrisg

    The coronavirus conspiracy

    Yeah, I was aware of the existence of the lab, and of an early denial of it having been in any way involved. What was not so apparent was that it is reportedly the only Level 4 bio-research lab in China. That does seem to be a very odd coincidence. I really do not know what is going on with the shipping of infected persons out of Darwin to their home States Ali, wish I did, it seems plain stupid but then again so did the knee-jerk reaction of quarantining the Diamond Princess, and I believe another cruise ship in Hong Kong. Doing so is now being described as giving the virus a petri dish in which to breed. There has been a huge amount of contradictory and confusing information coming out about the virus in general. I'm pretty certain a lot of it can be put down to shoddy reporting, as usual, but it does appear that there may be no smoke without fire. Cheers
  18. chrisg

    The coronavirus conspiracy

    Well, no Cybes, they demonstrably have changed the reporting methodologies which has distorted the numbers. It is rather murky overall. I totally agree though, it is nobody's idea of a particularly effective bio-weapon, but perhaps that does depend upon its mutation path. I'd be far more inclined to regard it as an accident or just plain slackness in terms of the labs continuing to explore SARS and via vectors mentioned in the link having it go wild. The incubation period in particular seems very rubbery and it does not take a genius to speculate on the wisdom of counting 14 days from event zero with no regard for infection transmission delays. But that does seem to be what is being basically followed and it is unwinding. Overall it does not seem to be being particularly well handled at all and with several nations that probably do have infected citizens claiming that they do not it still has a potential to bloom. I agree, for MOST healthy people it appears to be just a case of the flu or even being asymptotic but that overlooks young well protected medical personnel who have been infected and in some cases died. Cheers
  19. chrisg

    The coronavirus conspiracy

    Yeah, The theory is that the Chinese changed their method of reporting, then reverted... Lies, damned lies and statistics... Australia actually seems to be doing ok, but how long that lasts is moot given they are shipping known infected persons across the country by means we are not being informed of. Anecdotally I heard from a senior doctor in Singapore last week that this particular virus was behaving in a strange manner. It was killing older people, who certainly do seem to be in the majority, via pulmonary collapse but it was also killing younger people by basically turning their immune systems against them. I am not a doctor so I do not really understand how that would work but it does sound ominous. I sort of remain tempted to believe that in the end it will just be another flu but on the other hand I do wonder why it is receiving so much attention and the near hysteria of repatriation flights etc. I thought I knew China quite well having been there several times but I'd never heard of Wusan, nor has anyone I've thus far spoken to about it. Apparently it is host to a major manufacturing facility for Apple, again, I have see Apple facilities in Shenzen and thought that was where most iPhones came from. Apparently not. It is presently all very murky as China shows itself more and more as behaving like a cat covering shit. Cheers
  20. chrisg

    how crap is this government ?

    Heh. Actually heard a pollie, forget who, on radio the other day trying to justify that - it was quite the dance... Cheers
  21. chrisg

    how crap is this government ?

    Yeah, What's on in Canberra doesn't show anything either - bit of a mystery. Cheers
  22. chrisg

    What a joke

    Best Trump put down for a while. Responding to Trump raving on about Parasite winning best movie at the Oscars the distributor tweeted "Figures, he can't read." (The movie is sub-titled.) Cheers
  23. chrisg

    how crap is this government ?

    The Wedgetail did have a rather difficult gestation, started out as an Australian RFP but has now been sold to other countries. It's sort of a mini AWACS but reportedly is just as capable as the older 707 based aircraft if not superior is some respects particularly surface search and ELINT. They've been very effective over Iraq. Not an aircraft that much is spoken about but it is a very effective force multiplier and will be even more effective when paired with our F-35s. So yeah, Logic, just for once the government did make a good, integrated purchasing decision and actually initiated the project. Still doesn't quite explain why there was one in Canberra, usually whilst based at Williamtown they operate out of Tindal. A fly past for the Anzac Day parade is a possibility I guess although in the air apart from the antenna it just looks like a 737 Rather early to be deployed as well but we do have six of them so basing one in Canberra for a while might not be silly. Cheers
  24. chrisg

    how crap is this government ?

    Bloody impressive aircraft those. Usually based at Williamstown, wonder why one would be in Canberra ? Cheers
  25. chrisg

    how crap is this government ?

    That does seem a bit unlikely, especially as they have not even started them properly yet Cheers
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